The Polish Voter: A Sociodemographic Portrait from the 2023 IPSOS Exit Poll

StatusVoR
Dublin Core metadata
Alternative title
Authors
Cześnik, Mikołaj
Szczupska, Oliwia
Sychowiec, Maciej
Monograph
Monograph (alternative title)
Date
2026-03-16
Publisher
Journal title
Polish Sociological Review
Issue
1
Volume
233
Pages
Pages
3-26
DOI
ISSN
1231-1413
ISSN of series
Weblink
https://polish-sociological-review.eu/The-Polish-Voter-nA-Sociodemographic-Portrait-from-the-2023-IPSOS-Exit-Poll,219444,0,2.html
Access date
2026-03-16
Abstract PL
Abstract EN
This article utilizes exit poll data from IPSOS to examine the sociodemographic determinants of voting behavior in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections. Applying multinomial logistic regression, we examine the independent effects of age, gender, education, occupation, and place of residence on party choice, with PiS as the reference category. The results reveal clear structural divides: younger voters, better-educated voters, and urban voters disproportionately support KO [Koalicja Obywatelska, Civic Coalition], NL [Nowa Lewica, The Left], and, in the case of young men, Konfederacja [Confederation], while older voters, less-educated voters, and rural voters remain PiS’s electoral base. Gender effects are significant, with men more inclined toward Konfederacja and women toward NL. Occupational status further differentiates preferences, with business owners leaning toward Konfederacja and pensioners toward PiS. Predicted probability plots illustrate these dynamics and confirm the persistence of class, generational, and spatial cleavages in Polish politics. Methodologically, the study demonstrates the analytical potential of exit poll data, offering a replicable framework for future electoral research in Poland and beyond.
Abstract other
Keywords PL
Keywords EN
elections
voting behavior
sociodemographics
exit poll
Keywords other
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG 16. Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
Exhibition title
Place of exhibition (institution)
Exhibition curator
URI
https://share.swps.edu.pl/handle/swps/2225
Type
License type
cc-by-nc-nd
Except as otherwise noted, this item is licensed under the Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence | Permitted use of copyrighted works
Funder
Time range from
Time range to
Contact person name
Related publication
Related publication
Grant/project name
Polskie Generalne Studium Wyborcze (PGSW) 2023
Files
The Polish Voter: A Sociodemographic Portrait from the 2023 IPSOS Exit Poll
The Polish Voter: A Sociodemographic Portrait from the 2023 IPSOS Exit Poll(812.3 KB)
Download
Views
Views3
Acquisition Date24.03.2026
Downloads
Downloads1
Acquisition Date24.03.2026
Altmetrics©
Dimensions
Google Scholar
Google Scholar