The Polish Voter: A Sociodemographic Portrait from the 2023 IPSOS Exit Poll

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cris.lastimport.scopus2026-03-24T04:10:14Z
dc.abstract.enThis article utilizes exit poll data from IPSOS to examine the sociodemographic determinants of voting behavior in the 2023 Polish parliamentary elections. Applying multinomial logistic regression, we examine the independent effects of age, gender, education, occupation, and place of residence on party choice, with PiS as the reference category. The results reveal clear structural divides: younger voters, better-educated voters, and urban voters disproportionately support KO [Koalicja Obywatelska, Civic Coalition], NL [Nowa Lewica, The Left], and, in the case of young men, Konfederacja [Confederation], while older voters, less-educated voters, and rural voters remain PiS’s electoral base. Gender effects are significant, with men more inclined toward Konfederacja and women toward NL. Occupational status further differentiates preferences, with business owners leaning toward Konfederacja and pensioners toward PiS. Predicted probability plots illustrate these dynamics and confirm the persistence of class, generational, and spatial cleavages in Polish politics. Methodologically, the study demonstrates the analytical potential of exit poll data, offering a replicable framework for future electoral research in Poland and beyond.
dc.affiliationWydział Nauk Społecznych w Warszawie
dc.affiliationInstytut Nauk Społecznych
dc.contributor.authorCześnik, Mikołaj
dc.contributor.authorSzczupska, Oliwia
dc.contributor.authorSychowiec, Maciej
dc.date.access2026-03-16
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-23T10:31:40Z
dc.date.available2026-03-23T10:31:40Z
dc.date.created2025-11-25
dc.date.issued2026-03-16
dc.description.accesstimeat_publication
dc.description.grantnumber2022/45/B/HS5/03493
dc.description.granttitlePolskie Generalne Studium Wyborcze (PGSW) 2023
dc.description.issue1
dc.description.physical3-26
dc.description.sdgPeaceJusticeAndStrongInstitutions
dc.description.versionfinal_published
dc.description.volume233
dc.identifier.doi10.26412/psr233.01
dc.identifier.eissn2657-4276
dc.identifier.issn1231-1413
dc.identifier.urihttps://share.swps.edu.pl/handle/swps/2225
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://polish-sociological-review.eu/The-Polish-Voter-nA-Sociodemographic-Portrait-from-the-2023-IPSOS-Exit-Poll,219444,0,2.html
dc.languageen
dc.pbn.affiliationnauki o polityce i administracji
dc.pbn.affiliationnauki socjologiczne
dc.rightsCC-BY-NC-ND
dc.rights.questionYes_rights
dc.share.articleOPEN_JOURNAL
dc.subject.enelections
dc.subject.envoting behavior
dc.subject.ensociodemographics
dc.subject.enexit poll
dc.swps.sciencecloudsend
dc.titleThe Polish Voter: A Sociodemographic Portrait from the 2023 IPSOS Exit Poll
dc.title.journalPolish Sociological Review
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typeArticle