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  • 2026-03
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    Moral Outrage Predicts the Virality of Petitions for Change on Social Media, But Not the Number of Signatures They Receive

    Social media platforms help activists to share their perspectives. However, there is concern that amplified content (e.g., moral outrage) may limit collective action. We studied how online petitions on www.change.org were shared and signed. Analyzing posts on X (n = 1,286,442) with URLs to petitions (n = 24,785) revealed that expressions of moral outrage were uniquely associated with the number of times posts were liked and reposted (virality). Mediation analyses showed that outrage was indirectly related to the number of signatures petitions received (via virality). However, outrage was associated with fewer signatures when controlling for virality. In contrast, expressions of agency, group identity, and prosociality were associated with more signatures but no more virality. The findings outline the factors linked to engagement with online petitions and describe how social media can amplify content which has no direct link to the sorts of effortful behaviours which are conducive to social change.
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  • 2026-07-13
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    Betrayal trauma and adult mental health : The role of mentalizing and dissociation

    Gagliardini, Giulia
    Jańczak, Monika Olga
    Colli, Antonello
    Fonagy, Peter
    Nolte, Tobias
    Hong Wang Fung
    Background Trauma experienced across the lifespan has been linked to a wide range of adverse mental health outcomes. However, the psychological mechanisms connecting betrayal trauma to later psychopathology remain insufficiently understood. Objective This cross-sectional study investigated associations between betrayal trauma during childhood and adulthood and adult psychopathology—specifically depressive symptoms and level of personality functioning within a dimensional model of personality disorders. We tested a path model examining direct and indirect associations between betrayal trauma at different developmental periods and adult psychopathology via dissociation and hypomentalizing. Participants A sample of 209 adults (61% female; aged 18–45 years; M = 29.7, SD = 7.88) were recruited from community and clinical settings in Poland. Methods Participants completed validated self-report measures assessing betrayal trauma, depressive symptoms, personality functioning (ICD-11 model), dissociation, and mentalizing. Path analyses with parallel mediation were conducted using SatorraBentler estimation and 5,000 bootstrap resamples to examine both direct and indirect associations. Results Both childhood and adulthood betrayal trauma were significantly associated with depressive symptoms and PD severity through dissociation and hypomentalizing [χ²(6) = 13.68, p = .033; CFI = 0.989; TLI = 0.931; RMSEA = 0.078; SRMR = 0.038]. No significant direct effects were observed once psychological processes were included. Mentalizing consistently demonstrated a stronger indirect association than dissociation across models. Adulthood betrayal trauma showed a greater total effect on depressive symptoms (β = .30; p < .001) than childhood trauma (β =  .17; p = .043), whereas their effects on personality pathology were comparable (respectively, β =  .21; p = .006 for adult trauma and β = .22; p = .008 for childhood trauma). For adulthood trauma and PD severity, the direct association was small and non-significant (β = −.06), whereas indirect effects via dissociation (β = .11) and mentalizing (β = .16) were positive, resulting in a positive total effect. Conclusions These findings indicate that the link between betrayal trauma and adult psychopathology may be best conceptualised in terms of co-occurring psychological processes rather than direct exposure effects. Hypomentalizing, in particular, appears to represent a key transdiagnostic mechanism connecting relational trauma across developmental stages with both mood and personality pathology.
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  • 2026-06-01
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    Introducing Policy Noise: A Metric for Assessing Variability in Local Policy Implementation. An Example from Local Responses to Refugee Influx in Polish Municipalities

    Dominika Wojtowicz
    his paper introduces a novel methodological framework for measuring variability in local policy implementation using the concept of “policy noise.” While local authorities’ discretion in implementing national policies is widely recognized as both a potential source of innovation and a challenge for policy coordination, the field lacks systematic tools for quantifying this variation. We address this gap by developing a set-theory-based measurement approach that enables systematic comparison of local policy implementation across structurally equivalent administrative units. The methodology captures variation across three dimensions: agenda-setting, types of solutions implemented, and resource allocation. Designed to be descriptive rather than prescriptive, this approach provides a foundation for empirical analysis without imposing normative judgments about optimal levels of variation. Although we demonstrate the methodology through an analysis of Polish municipalities’ responses to Ukrainian refugee education needs in 2022, the framework is applicable across policy domains – including health, environment, and social services – in which local authorities exercise implementation discretion within centrally-established parameters. This measurement approach offers researchers a new tool for investigating the dynamics of local policy implementation, enabling systematic study of the relationships between institutional arrangements, implementation variation, and policy outcomes.
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  • 2025
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    International security in the East Asian region. Current challenges .

    Russia’s military aggression against Ukraine, which began in February 2022, combined with the new stage of the conflict in the Middle East that has been ongoing since October 2023, has created a threat to international security comparable to the Cuban Missile Crisis (1962) or the high-profile crises in the Taiwan Strait. The analysis of the state of security through the prism of the theory of international relations once again confirms the accuracy of the assumptions of the school of political realism, referring to the factor of strength and power, determining the global and regional balance of power, including in the region of East Asia. There is no doubt that in the light of the ongoing war in Ukraine and the Middle East, conflicts and territorial disputes in East Asia are putting the superpowers, i.e. the US and China, to a unique test, especially in terms of their security management capabilities, both on a regional and global scale. The article examines the transformations in the field of security in the East Asian region2 with references to a global scale. The author shows how territorial disputes in the East and South China Seas, or especially tensions around Taiwan, remain, on the one hand, a factor generating new forms of cooperation between the security structures of the Euro-Atlantic area and the countries of East Asia, and on the other hand, they are a source of strengthening strategic ties between China, Russia, North Korea and Iran.
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  • 2025
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    Życie i twórczość naukowa Bronisława Piłsudskiego (1866–1918) jako nieodłączny element fabuły japońskiej serii komiksów manga Golden Kamuy Satoru Nody

    Satoru Noda’s Golden Kamuy is a hit Japanese manga that was adapted into an anime series of the same title. It features Ainu-Polish history motifs as well as Ainu-Polish descendant fictional characters. They are not, however, completely unrelated to real-life persona. Similarities to Bronisław Piłsudski’s life and legacy, his Ainu family and ethnographic discoveries are very telling for how important a role he played in documenting Ainu language and culture, as well as collecting their daily-used tools and utensils for later use at museums. The article discusses Golden Kamuy in relation to Piłsudski’s biography and Ainu research, while drawing a line between animated fiction and real-life occurrences. For Piłsudski’s life and work to have been a part of a popular Japanese series over 100 years after his death, it can be seen not only as a tribute to his life and work but also a chance for Polish academia to become more inclusive and present in popular media.
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