Investigating the replicability of the social and behavioural sciences

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cris.lastimport.scopus2026-04-22T03:10:18Z
dc.abstract.enPursuing replicability — independent evidence for previous claims — is important for creating generalizable knowledge. Here we attempted replications of 274 claims of positive results from 164 quantitative papers published from 2009 to 2018 in 54 journals in the social and behavioural sciences. Replications were high powered on average to detect the original effect size (median of 99.6%), used original materials when relevant and available, and were peer reviewed in advance through a standardized internal protocol. Replications showed statistically significant results in the original pattern for 151 of 274 claims (55.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 49.2–60.9%)) and for 80.8 of 164 papers (49.3% (95% CI 43.8–54.7%)), weighed for replicating multiple claims per paper. We observed modest variation in replication rates across disciplines (42.5–63.1%), although some estimates had high uncertainty. The median Pearson’s r effect size was 0.25 (95% CI 0.21–0.27) for original studies and 0.10 (95% CI 0.09–0.13) for replication studies, an 82.4% (95% CI 67.8–88.2%) reduction in shared variance. Thirteen methods for evaluating replication success provided estimates ranging from 28.6% to 74.8% (median of 49.3%). Some decline in effect size and significance is expected based on power to detect original effects and regression to the mean because we replicated only positive results. We observe that challenges for replicability extend across social–behavioural sciences, illustrating the importance of identifying conditions that promote or inhibit replicability.
dc.affiliationWydział Psychologii we Wrocławiu
dc.contributor.authorTyner, Andrew H.
dc.contributor.authorAbatayo, Anna Lou
dc.contributor.authorDaley, Mason
dc.contributor.authorField, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorFox, Nicholas
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dc.contributor.authorHahn, Krystal M.
dc.contributor.authorStruhl, Melissa Kline
dc.contributor.authorMawhinney, Brinna
dc.contributor.authorMiske, Olivia
dc.contributor.authorSilverstein, Priya
dc.contributor.authorSoderberg, Courtney K.
dc.contributor.authorStankov, Theresa
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dc.contributor.authorAberson, Christopher L.
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dc.contributor.authorAdamkovič, Matúš
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dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, Flavio
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dc.contributor.authorBailey, James
dc.contributor.authorBakker, Marjan
dc.contributor.authorBanik, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorBanks, George C.
dc.contributor.authorBaskin, Ernest
dc.contributor.authorBatruch, Anatolia
dc.contributor.authorBeatteay, Annika
dc.contributor.authorBehr, Sophie M.
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dc.contributor.authorNilsonne, Gustav
dc.contributor.authorO’Boyle, Ernest
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dc.contributor.authorOstrowski, Rachel P.
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dc.contributor.authorPatrianakos, Jamie
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dc.contributor.authorTurkovich, Elise
dc.contributor.authorTutor, Melba Verra
dc.contributor.authorUrbanska, Karolina
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dc.contributor.authorvan Assen, Marcel
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dc.contributor.authorVargo, Elisabeth Julie
dc.contributor.authorVaughn, Leigh Ann
dc.contributor.authorVazire, Simine
dc.contributor.authorVermeulen, Jentien M.
dc.contributor.authorVo, Diem Thi Hong
dc.contributor.authorVolkman, Victor
dc.contributor.authorWagenmakers, Eric-Jan
dc.contributor.authorWagner, Deliah
dc.contributor.authorWalasek, Lukasz
dc.contributor.authorWalter, Frank
dc.contributor.authorWarmelink, Lara
dc.contributor.authorWei, Liuqing
dc.contributor.authorWeißflog, Marie Isabelle
dc.contributor.authorWeller, Nicholas
dc.contributor.authorWichman, Aaron L.
dc.contributor.authorWilbiks, Jonathan
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, Jamal R.
dc.contributor.authorWolfe, Kelly
dc.contributor.authorWort, Finnian
dc.contributor.authorWright, Ryan
dc.contributor.authorWulff, Jesper N.
dc.contributor.authorXue, Xindong
dc.contributor.authorYan, Veronica X.
dc.contributor.authorYang, Yuzhi
dc.contributor.authorYoon, Sangsuk
dc.contributor.authorŽeželj, Iris
dc.contributor.authorZhang, Yinxian
dc.contributor.authorZiano, Ignazio
dc.contributor.authorZogmaister, Cristina
dc.contributor.authorZupan, Zorana
dc.contributor.authorZwaan, Rolf A.
dc.contributor.authorNosek Brian A.
dc.contributor.authorErrington, Timothy M.
dc.date.accessioned2026-04-21T11:17:40Z
dc.date.available2026-04-21T11:17:40Z
dc.date.created2025-12-19
dc.date.issued2026-04-01
dc.description.physical143–150
dc.description.sdgPartnershipForTheGoals
dc.description.versionfinal_published
dc.description.volume652
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41586-025-10078-y
dc.identifier.eissn1476-4687
dc.identifier.issn0028-0836
dc.identifier.urihttps://share.swps.edu.pl/handle/swps/2311
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-10078-y
dc.languageen
dc.pbn.affiliationpsychologia
dc.rightsClosedAccess
dc.rights.questionNo_rights
dc.subject.enreplication
dc.subject.encredibility
dc.subject.enreliability
dc.subject.envalidity
dc.subject.eneconomics
dc.subject.enpolitical science
dc.subject.enpsychology
dc.subject.enmarketing
dc.subject.ensociology
dc.subject.enfinance
dc.subject.enmanagement
dc.subject.enpublic administration
dc.subject.enorganizational behavior
dc.subject.eneducation
dc.subject.encriminology
dc.subject.enhealth research
dc.swps.sciencecloudsend
dc.titleInvestigating the replicability of the social and behavioural sciences
dc.title.journalNature
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typeArticle